"This is an extraordinary statement by Senator Biden. I don't ever recall a vice-presidential candidate predicting that the election of their candidate for the President of the United States would invite forces in the world to test the mettle of the person elected. It has to mean that Joe Biden continues to harvest serious doubts about whether Barack Obama is prepared to be commander-in-chief as he famously announced a year ago." -- Rudy Giuliani
Today, McCain-Palin 2008 held a press conference call with Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Randy Scheunemann, McCain-Palin Foreign Policy Adviser to discuss Joe Biden's admission that Barack Obama's election will precipitate an international crisis:
Randy Scheunemann: "Senator Biden's comments that he made last night were very revealing. He said quote 'remember I said it standing here. If you don't remember anything else I'd said, watch. We're going to have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy.' 'This guy' apparently referring to Senator Obama.
"Senator Biden went on to say that they needed the support of the big donors he was addressing because quote 'it's not apparent that we're going to be right' closed quote in responding to this crisis. This statement is what Michael Kinsley once famously called a gaffe, 'a politician inadvertently speaking the truth.'
"Senator Biden talked about the test that a previous president, President John F. Kennedy, faced and that's an important subject to spend just a minute or two on. What Senator Kennedy did in his first year in office was enter into an ill-prepared summit meeting with the Soviet leader Khrushchev. A summit meeting that he said during the course of the campaign he would not have and his conduct in that meeting led Khrushchev to believe that President Kennedy was weak. He went on some weeks later to begin the construction of what became the Berlin Wall and ultimately led to the Cuban Missile Crisis.
"In foreign policy, it is weakness, real or perceived weakness, that is provocative. Weakness invites challenge, invites testing, invites attack. We've seen multiple examples of Senator Obama in the course of this campaign responding to international crises and none of his responses are reassuring. When the surge was first announced for Iraq, Senator Obama said that it would fail, predicted that it would increase violence, voted to cut off funding for our troops, which would have amounted to nothing more than a surrender to Al Qaida and Iranian-backed extremists.
"In the course of this campaign, Senator Obama has said he would meet in his first year in office unconditionally with tyrants from Ahmadinejad in Iran to Chavez in Venezuela to Kim Jung-Il in Korea. Senator Biden even criticized him for that position at the time. Those kinds of unconditional summit meetings, which Senator Obama promised, would undermine our allies, would undermine multilateral diplomacy, and it would undermine American interests.
"More recently, in August of this year when Russia invaded Georgia, Senator Obama called on Georgia to quote 'show restraint.' It took him three days to call for a Russian withdrawal. This kind of erratic behavior sends a signal of weakness and indecision to our allies.
"Senator Obama in the course of this campaign has said that he wants to rip up free trade agreements with our allies and he opposes new ones coming in to force because big labor doesn't like them.
"The next President of the United States will be tested. There are enemies of the United States that are awaiting the results of this election. John McCain has passed every test in his life. He's spent over two decades wearing the uniform of this country. He's spent over two decades traveling the world, learning the issues, getting to know the leaders, and taking very difficult positions. Senator Obama's chief claim to experience is leading in the front lines of community organizing and doing legal work with ACORN. As Joe Biden said, Senator Obama would invite testing and his responses would not be the right ones."
...
Rudy Giuliani: "This is an extraordinary statement by Senator Biden. I don't ever recall a vice-presidential candidate predicting that the election of their candidate for the President of the United States would invite forces in the world to test the mettle of the person elected. It has to mean that Joe Biden continues to harvest serious doubts about whether Barack Obama is prepared to be commander-in-chief as he famously announced a year ago. And also, I would remind Senator Biden that it is not uniformly the case that the mettle of American presidents are tested. No one tested Eisenhower's mettle and no one tested Reagan's mettle.
"Senator McCain has the experience, the background, the predictability as to how he would handle the defense of the United States and the national interest of the United States. And none of us can predict, although Joe Biden apparently thinks he can, what's going to happen. But certainly, Senator McCain would not present that same risk that Joe Biden seems to be worried about. Senator McCain has a long history on all of these issues. Randy pointed out the reaction to Georgia of Senator Obama which was to take several positions, including creating a moral equivalency between Georgia and Russia, talking about going to the Security Council of the United Nations before he realized that Russia has a veto on the United Nations, before he settled on a position on Georgia. You know John McCain settled on a position on Georgia within a short time of finding out about it and didn't have to change it three or four times, and we could go through numerous examples like that.
"So, I don't exactly know what Joe Biden meant by this. I think all of you should question him about it, although Joe Biden is able to say things like this, and no one seems to question him. At least, no one in the media seems to question him. This is an extraordinary statement. He talked about it in very serious language, saying things like: Mark my words, we're going to have to 'gird our loins.' He seems to be predicting some very serious incident that's going to take place, and he also seems to think that the reaction is not going to be the right one because he's going to need everybody's support. It's again, an extraordinary statement.
"I don't know exactly what he has in mind, but I can logically figure out that the risk that he's talking about, America will not run with John McCain who has the experience, the background, and is prepared to be commander-in-chief, and he certainly is not going to invite anyone risking a test of John McCain. If somebody acts, they're going to act, and they're going to have to deal with John McCain's reaction in defense of the United States. But he is certainly not going to invite that kind of an attack the way Joe Biden is talking about here."
Listen To The Conference Call
Monday, October 20, 2008
McCain-Palin Campaign Conference Call On Joe Biden's International Crisis Statement
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Sunday, January 20, 2008
Huckabee & McCain News Round Up (they overlap!)
Winners and losers
BBC News - UK
Another thought from the McCain victory: surely Mike Huckabee's failure to win is a massive blow to Rudy Giuliani in his effort to seriously begin his race ...
McCain Wins South Carolina In Tight Race With Huckabee
Wall Street Journal - USA
Mike Huckabee in the South Carolina Republican primary Saturday, cementing his status as a front-runner for his party's nomination. ...
McCain deals blow to Huckabee
Chicago Sun-Times - United States
Mike Huckabee. If he had lost here, McCain's strategists here admitted privately, his comeback campaign would have been in big trouble. ...
McCain beats Huckabee in key Carolina race
Toronto Star - Ontario, Canada
The 71-year-old Arizona senator narrowly defeated former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, who was hoping to use the party's first southern test to mobilize ...
For Huckabee, near-win a defeat
Atlanta Journal Constitution - GA, USA
Mike Huckabee did well in South Carolina, but a near-win in South Carolina is a defeat for him. As he noted though in conceding first place to McCain, ...
Collegial contest obscures longtime GOP divisions
Boston Globe - United States
After long conversations at home and at the Sunday school of their evangelical church about whether to support John McCain or Mike Huckabee, ...
Fred and Michigan Leave Huck Hurting
TIME - USA
Mike Huckabee addresses supporters after finishing behind John McCain in the South Carolina primary, January 19, 2008. However magical his victory in Iowa, ...
US elections / Why Huckabee worries the Jewish voter
Ha'aretz - Tel Aviv,Israel
By Shmuel Rosner, Haaretz Correspondent Mike Huckabee isn't said to have a particularly good chance at snagging the Republican nomination. ...
McCain wins in South Carolina; Huckabee pledges to continue
WGRZ-TV - Buffalo,NY,USA
McCain defeated Mike Huckabee by just a few percentage points. Fred Thompson, who had been counting on a strong showing, is in a struggle for third place ...
Huckabee Says Race 'Far, Far From Over'
The Associated Press - COLUMBIA, SC (AP) — Mike Huckabee lost the Republican primary in South Carolina, falling short in a state that was crucial to his presidential aspirations ...
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GIULIANI AD FACTS “It Matters
AD FACT:
Voice Over: “When corruption ruled, he challenged it.”
BACKGROUND:
GIULIANI “WAS A HERO … FOR FIGHTING CORRUPTION”
Giuliani Served As U.S. Attorney For The Southern District Of New York From 1983-1989. “U.S. Attorney Rudolph W. Giuliani, who successfully prosecuted stock traders, corrupt politicians and the Mafia, announced his resignation Tuesday … Giuliani – who served as associate attorney general in the Justice Department before becoming U.S. attorney in 1983 …” (Vera Haller, “Famous Prosecutor Steps Down, Leaves Political Door Open,” The Associated Press, 1/11/89)
“[Giuliani’s] Office’s Conviction Rate Of Better Than 90% — And Its Record Of Winning Many Big Ones — Speaks For Itself.” (Stephen Adler et. al., “Litigator’s Legacy,” The Wall Street Journal, 1/11/89)
NY1’s Andrew Kirtzman: “He Was A Hero In The Eyes Of People For Fighting Corruption In Politics, Organized Crime, Insider Trading On Wall Street. He Was The White Knight.” (MSNBC’s “Headliners & Legends,” 11/17/01)
GIULIANI TOOK ON THE MAFIA AND WON
RICO Statute Author Praised Giuliani’s Innovative Use Of RICO To Prosecute Mob. “[N]otre Dame Law School professor G. Robert Blakey, who drafted the RICO statue, says that as early as 1980 he gave a lecture to the FBI suggesting a RICO case against the mob. But Blakey says, ‘If Rudy wants to claim credit, I say, give it to him. Because it wouldn’t have happened without him.’” (Connie Bruck, “Rudolph Giuliani,” The American Lawyer, 3/89)
Under Giuliani, 18 Members Of New York And Sicilian Mafia Were Convicted For Cocaine And Heroin Smuggling In “Pizza Connection” Case. “Eighteen men were convicted today of operating an international heroin and cocaine ring that distributed more than $1.6 billion in drugs through pizza parlors in the Northeast and Midwest. The convictions of the men, who include former leaders of the Sicilian Mafia and the New York-based Bonnano crime family, follow the convictions late last year of the members of a ruling Mafia commission. ‘It is a tremendous victory in the effort to crush the Mafia,’ U.S. Attorney Rudolph W. Giuliani said. ‘Five years ago nobody would have thought it possible to convict the head of the Sicilian Mafia and the head of a major part of an American Mafia family.’ He added, ‘The impact on the Mafia of these cases has been devastating. If this continues, there’s not going to be a Mafia.’” (Margot Hornblower, “18 Guilty In ‘Pizza Connection’ Trial,” The Washington Post, 3/3/87)
In 1986, Giuliani Successfully Convicted Three Mafia Godfathers. “Prosecutors and law enforcement agencies are basking in the victory of guilty verdicts for three Mafia godfathers and five associates and stiff sentences for eight other mobsters and associates in the government’s steamroller assault on La Cosa Nostra. … The heads of three of New York’s five Mafia families were convicted Wednesday. They are: Anthony ‘Fat Tony’ Salerno, 75, head of the Genovese clan, who authorities have called the nation’s most powerful gangster. He faces 306 years in jail. Carmine ‘Junior’ Persico, 53, the Colombo family leader, who was sentenced Monday to 39 years in prison on racketeering, extortion and bribery charges and who now faces another 306 years in jail. Anthony ‘Tony Ducks’ Corallo, 73, the Lucchese family leader, who faces 326 years.” (William M. Reilly, “The Mafia Convictions: ‘Organized Crime Never Going To Be The Same Again’,” United Press International, 11/23/86)
Eight Organized-Crime Leaders Were Convicted As Members Of “National Ruling Commission Of Mafia Families,” Receiving Sentences Of 40 To 100 Years. “Eight organized-crime leaders were convicted last November as members of a national ruling commission of Mafia families that prosecutors said coordinated activities, resolved disputes and sometimes ordered executions. As a Justice Department official, Mr. Giuliani had helped devise the strategy of prosecuting a Mafia directorate; this case was the major result. The defendants, who for the most part did not deny the existence of a Mafia or a commission, represented the Colombo, Genovese, Lucchese and Bonanno families. They received sentences of 40 to 100 years.” (Laura Mansnerus, “Giuliani: The Public Record Of A Highly Public Prosecutor,” The New York Times, 11/8/87)
History Channel’s Bruce Cutler: “Of All Of The Mafia Targets That An FBI Man Could Dream Of, There Is None Higher Than The Commission: The Senate, House And Supreme Court Of The American Mob.” (History Channel’s “Mouthpiece,” 6/03)
Giuliani’s Office Had Series Of “Sweeping” Victories Against Mafia. “Ending a 17-month racketeering trial, a Federal jury yesterday convicted seven men of being members or associates of a murderous crew of the Gambino crime family that operated out of a Brooklyn apartment. The verdict in Federal District Court in Manhattan gave prosecutors a sweeping victory in the second of two trials stemming from a 1984 indictment that originally included charges against the man prosecutors said was then chief of the Gambino family, Paul Castellano, who was killed in 1985 … In its verdict, which came in the 13th day of deliberations, the jury found the defendants guilty of all the charges presented in a 21-count indictment. … The trial, which included testimony by 207 witnesses for the Government, was the last of a series of large criminal cases begun by former United States Attorney Rudolph W. Giuliani against people prosecutors have called major figures in the Mafia.” (William Glaberson, “Seven Guilty In Racket Case At Mob Trial,” The New York Times, 6/29/89)
GIULIANI TOOK ON CORRUPT POLITICIANS AND WON
Giuliani Prosecuted Democratic Party Boss Stan Friedman And Three Others For Racketeering And Mail Fraud In “Largest New York Corruption Trial In Decades.” “A New York City Democratic boss and three co-defendants were convicted today of racketeering and conspiracy for corrupting the city’s Parking Violations Bureau through six years of bribery. The 12-member federal jury deliberated four days before returning the verdict against Bronx party leader Stanley Friedman and the others in what was the largest New York corruption trial in decades. The four were accused of turning the [Parking Violations Bureau] into their ‘private gold mine’ through a pattern of bribery from 1979 to 1985. Friedman, who sat impassively as the verdicts were read, was also convicted of two counts of mail fraud. Michael Lazar, former city transportation head, was also convicted of two counts of mail fraud; ex-PVB director Lester Shafran was convicted of two counts of mail fraud; and businessman Marvin Kaplan was convicted of one count of mail fraud and perjury for lying before the Securities and Exchange Commission. … The trial began Sept. 22, with U.S. Attorney Rudolph Giuliani … accusing Friedman of sitting on a corrupt ‘board of directors’ which converted the PVB into ‘an enterprise for illegal plunder.’” (Larry McShane, “Bronx Democratic Boss, Others Guilty In Corruption Trial,” The Associated Press, 11/25/86)
Following Parking Violations Bureau Convictions, Nine More Public Officials In New York City Either Resigned Or Came Under Indictment. Frontline’s Mark Obenhaus: “The revelation that officials as powerful as Donald Manes and Stanley Freidman were corrupt has shaken public confidence in New York City government. The scandal has spawned a wrath of other investigations. During 1986 and 1987, the Commissioners of Hospitals, Taxis, Transportation, Cultural Affairs, Business Development, two members of the City Planning Commission, a borough president and a United States Congressman all resigned or were under indictment.” (PBS’s “Frontline,” 6/23/87)
Giuliani Unraveled Wedtech Scandal, Where Executives Engaged In Massive Military-Contract Fraud, Leading To Guilty Verdict For Former U.S. Rep. Mario Biaggi (D-NY). “Former congressman Mario Biaggi (D-N.Y.), sobbing and still protesting his innocence, was sentenced today to eight years in federal prison for extorting payoffs from Wedtech Corp. in return for his political influence. U.S. District Court Judge Constance Baker Motley said she would have given the 71-year-old Biaggi a ‘substantially longer’ prison term if it were not for his age and poor health. She also fined him $242,000 and ordered him to start serving his sentence Jan. 9 …” (George Lardner Jr., “Biaggi Gets Eight-Year Sentence,” The Washington Post, 11/19/88)
Giuliani Also Obtained Guilty Pleas From Four Wedtech Executives, Who Implicated Over A Dozen Public Officials For Illegal Payoff Public Corruption Scheme. “[P]rosecutors have described as a wide set of illegal payoffs made by Wedtech executives as the company grew from a small machine shop to a $100-million-a-year military contractor, largely through contracts obtained without competitive bidding. So far, four top former executives of the company are said to have implicated more than a dozen public figures … The former Wedtech officials have pleaded guilty to Federal charges brought by Mr. Giuliani and have agreed to cooperate with investigators in exchange for leniency. They have also agreed to plead guilty to state charges in Manhattan and the Bronx.” (Mark A. Uhlig, “Two Accused Of Extorting From Wedtech,” The New York Times, 1/30/88)
AD FACT:
Voice Over: “When welfare failed, he changed it.”
BACKGROUND:
WHEN GIULIANI TOOK OFFICE OVER ONE MILLION NEW YORKERS WERE ON WELFARE
In January 1994, 1.1 Million People Were On Welfare, Nearly One Out Of Every Seven New Yorkers. (City Of New York Office Of Operations, Reengineering Municipal Services 1994-2001, p. 103; City Of New York Human Resources Administration, January 1999 HRA/DSS Fact Sheet)
CNN’s Bill Press In 1998: “[New York City] Used To Be The Welfare Capital Of The Nation …” (CNN’s “Crossfire,” 2/27/98)
New York Was Known As Welfare Capital Of The World. “At least a few New Yorkers have long despaired of making non-New Yorkers grasp the gargantuan perversity of the city’s welfare system. Help has arrived. ‘Hands to Work,’ by Columbia journalism Prof. LynNell Hancock, purports to be an expose of welfare reform under Mayor Rudolph Giuliani. It is far more profitably read as a breathtaking tour of the mindset — supplied by the author and by those she writes about — that for decades made New York the welfare capital of the world.” (Heather MacDonald, Op-Ed, “When Bad Habits Met A Mayor Who Wouldn’t Put Up With Them,” The Wall Street Journal, 1/23/02)
GIULIANI CHANGED WELFARE SYSTEM IN NEW YORK CITY
Newt Gingrich Called Giuliani An “Absolute Revolutionary” On Welfare Reform. “[O]ur moral critique — if anything, I feel, in retrospect, I was not bold enough in Washington, DC. Our moral critique of the welfare state is going to accelerate, and the place it’s happening is at the state and local governments. I mean, Giuliani, in his real reform of welfare, is in fact, behaving as an absolute revolutionary.” (Newt Gingrich, Remarks At Progress And Freedom Foundation Conference, Washington, DC, 1/22/96)
While Washington Was Held Back By Endless Discussion, Giuliani “Raced Ahead” To Create Nation’s Most Successful Welfare-To-Work Program. “The Giuliani administration, which created the nation’s largest and most successful workfare program among single adults in the Home Relief program, is now extending the work requirement to recipients of Aid to Families with Dependent Children i.e., single mothers. The program continues the city’s ambitious efforts at reform, one based on action. While Washington and Albany talk endlessly … Mayor Giuliani has raced ahead by going back to basics: work.” (Editorial, “The Four-Letter Fix For Welfare,” Daily News, 3/23/96)
Giuliani Cut Over 640,000 People From City Welfare Rolls To The Lowest Number Since 1966. (City Of New York Human Resources Administration, January 1999 HRA/DSS Fact Sheet; City Of New York Human Resources Administration, December 2001 HRA/DSS Fact Sheet; City Of New York Office Of Operations, Reengineering Municipal Services 1994-2001, p. 111)
58.37% Decrease In Number Of Welfare Recipients, From 1.1 Million In January 1994 To 462,595 In December 2001. (City Of New York Human Resources Administration, January 1999 HRA/DSS Fact Sheet; City Of New York Human Resources Administration, December 2001 HRA/DSS Fact Sheet)
Giuliani Turned Welfare Offices Into Job Centers, Which Made 151,376 Placements In FY 2001. (City Of New York Office Of Operations, Reengineering Municipal Services 1994-2001, p. 111)
New York City’s Workfare Program Required 20 Hours/Week Of Able-Bodied Recipients. (City Of New York Office Of Operations, Reengineering Municipal Services 1994-2001, p. 103)
Over 250,000 Total Work Experience Program (WEP) Participants. (City Of New York Office Of Operations, Reengineering Municipal Services 1994-2001, p. 103)
35,599 WEP Participants At Program’s Peak In 1999. (Independent Budget Office Of The City Of New York, “Welfare And Work,” http://www.ibo.nyc.ny.us/newsfax/nws61welfareandwork.html, 2/14/05)
AD FACT:
Voice Over: “When crime thrived, he fought it.”
BACKGROUND:
AS ASSOCIATE ATTORNEY GENERAL, GIULIANI TOOK ON DRUGS AND VIOLENT CRIME
“In 1981, [Rudy] Giuliani Joined The Reagan Administration As An Associate Attorney General, The Third-Ranking Post In The Justice Department.” (Josh Barbanel, “Reaganism Now Liability For Giuliani,” The New York Times, 10/11/89)
Giuliani Among “Chief Strategists” Of Reagan Administration’s Effort Against Narcotics Trafficking. “At the Justice Department, Mr. Giuliani has been highly visible, particularly as one of the chief strategists of the Reagan Administration’s stepped-up effort to combat narcotics trafficking. He was instrumental in devising the Reagan budget request of $130 million granted by Congress last year to finance 12 new investigative drug task forces across the nation.” (Jane Perlez, “Giuliani Willing To Accept U.S. Attorney Job In State,” The New York Times, 3/10/83)
Giuliani Realized Increased Sophistication Among International Drug Traffickers Required New Emphasis On Drug Enforcement Policies. Giuliani: “[T]he international network of drug traffickers is far more sophisticated than ever before. Sales of illicit drugs … has attracted organized crime leaders, shrewd businessmen and political leaders. Large criminal organizations can respond to isolated law enforcement efforts simply by changing transportation routes or sources of supply … In short, increasing criminal sophistication requires an equally sophisticated law enforcement organization with a world-wide intelligence, enforcement and diplomatic capability.” (Associate Attorney General Rudolph Giuliani And Special Assistant To The Attorney General Hank Habict, Memo To Attorney General William French Smith And Deputy Attorney General Edward Schmults, 5/7/81)
“[Giuliani] Has Been The Chief Designer Of The Expansion Of The Federal Bureau Of Investigation In Narcotics Enforcement And The Creation Of 12 Drug-Enforcement Task Forces.” (“Man In The News; Nominee For U.S. Attorney,” The New York Times, 4/13/83)
There Were Over 1.1 Million Violent Crimes Reported In The United States When Reagan Appointed Giuliani To Justice Department Position. “The federal government brings 35,000 criminal cases a year, the majority for property rather than violent crimes. In 1979, the last full year for which the FBI has figures, there were 1,178,540 violent crimes reported to police in the United States. The overwhelming majority of these violent crimes of murder, rape, robbery and aggravated assault did not violate federal law. In addition, the federal government has reliable evidence that for each violent crime reported to the police in the United States, two others go unreported.” (Michael J. Sniffen, “Top Justice Official Says Rehabilitation Key To Reducing Violent Crime,” The Associated Press, 8/19/81)
Giuliani Oversaw Creation Of Violent Crime Committee. “The following sequence of steps is recommended: 1. Authorize us to select an initial staff of five Department employees – Criminal Division, FBI, DEA being crucial – to prepare under the supervision of Messrs. Giuliani and Jensen a draft agenda and background material for the Committee…” (Associate Attorney General Rudolph Giuliani And D. Lowell Jensen, Memo To Attorney General William French Smith, 2/24/81)
By The End Of September 1981, Attorney General Smith Has Implemented Two-Thirds Of Task Force’s Recommendations And Was Working On Implementation Of The Remainders. (Associate Attorney General Rudy Giuliani, Memo To Counsel To President Reagan Fred Fielding, 9/25/81)
AS U.S. ATTORNEY, GIULIANI FACED DOWN MAFIA AND DRUG CRISIS
Giuliani Served As U.S. Attorney For The Southern District Of New York From 1983-1989. “U.S. Attorney Rudolph W. Giuliani, who successfully prosecuted stock traders, corrupt politicians and the Mafia, announced his resignation Tuesday … Giuliani – who served as associate attorney general in the Justice Department before becoming U.S. attorney in 1983 …” (Vera Haller, “Famous Prosecutor Steps Down, Leaves Political Door Open,” The Associated Press, 1/11/89)
“[I]n Areas Ranging From White-Collar Crime To The Mob, [Giuliani] Has Been The Most Effective Prosecutor In Recent Memory…” (Connie Bruck, “Rudolph Giuliani,” The American Lawyer, 3/89)
“[Giuliani’s] Office’s Conviction Rate Of Better Than 90% — And Its Record Of Winning Many Big Ones — Speaks For Itself.” (Stephen Adler et. al., “Litigator’s Legacy,” The Wall Street Journal, 1/11/89)
NY1’s Andrew Kirtzman: “He Was A Hero In The Eyes Of People For Fighting Corruption In Politics, Organized Crime, Insider Trading On Wall Street. He Was The White Knight.” (MSNBC’s “Headliners & Legends,” 11/17/01)
RICO Statute Author Praised Giuliani’s Innovative Use Of RICO To Prosecute Mob. “[N]otre Dame Law School professor G. Robert Blakey, who drafted the RICO statue, says that as early as 1980 he gave a lecture to the FBI suggesting a RICO case against the mob. But Blakey says, ‘If Rudy wants to claim credit, I say, give it to him. Because it wouldn’t have happened without him.’” (Connie Bruck, “Rudolph Giuliani,” The American Lawyer, 3/89)
18 Members Of New York And Sicilian Mafia Were Convicted For Cocaine And Heroin Smuggling In “Pizza Connection” Case. “Eighteen men were convicted today of operating an international heroin and cocaine ring that distributed more than $1.6 billion in drugs through pizza parlors in the Northeast and Midwest. The convictions of the men, who include former leaders of the Sicilian Mafia and the New York-based Bonnano crime family, follow the convictions late last year of the members of a ruling Mafia commission. ‘It is a tremendous victory in the effort to crush the Mafia,’ U.S. Attorney Rudolph W. Giuliani said. ‘Five years ago nobody would have thought it possible to convict the head of the Sicilian Mafia and the head of a major part of an American Mafia family.’ He added, ‘The impact on the Mafia of these cases has been devastating. If this continues, there’s not going to be a Mafia.’” (Margot Hornblower, “18 Guilty In ‘Pizza Connection’ Trial,” The Washington Post, 3/3/87)
Eight Organized-Crime Leaders Were Convicted As Members Of “National Ruling Commission Of Mafia Families,” Receiving Sentences Of 40 To 100 Years. “Eight organized-crime leaders were convicted last November as members of a national ruling commission of Mafia families that prosecutors said coordinated activities, resolved disputes and sometimes ordered executions. As a Justice Department official, Mr. Giuliani had helped devise the strategy of prosecuting a Mafia directorate; this case was the major result. The defendants, who for the most part did not deny the existence of a Mafia or a commission, represented the Colombo, Genovese, Lucchese and Bonanno families. They received sentences of 40 to 100 years.” (Laura Mansnerus, “Giuliani: The Public Record Of A Highly Public Prosecutor,” The New York Times, 11/8/87)
History Channel’s Bruce Cutler: “Of All Of The Mafia Targets That An FBI Man Could Dream Of, There Is None Higher Than The Commission: The Senate, House And Supreme Court Of The American Mob.” (History Channel’s “Mouthpiece,” 6/03)
Giuliani’s Office Had Series Of “Sweeping” Victories Against Mafia. “Ending a 17-month racketeering trial, a Federal jury yesterday convicted seven men of being members or associates of a murderous crew of the Gambino crime family that operated out of a Brooklyn apartment. The verdict in Federal District Court in Manhattan gave prosecutors a sweeping victory in the second of two trials stemming from a 1984 indictment that originally included charges against the man prosecutors said was then chief of the Gambino family, Paul Castellano, who was killed in 1985 … In its verdict, which came in the 13th day of deliberations, the jury found the defendants guilty of all the charges presented in a 21-count indictment. … The trial, which included testimony by 207 witnesses for the Government, was the last of a series of large criminal cases begun by former United States Attorney Rudolph W. Giuliani against people prosecutors have called major figures in the Mafia.” (William Glaberson, “Seven Guilty In Racket Case At Mob Trial,” The New York Times, 6/29/89)
Giuliani Focused On Both International And Local Street-Level Drug Cases. “Right after coming into office, Giuliani announced a Federal ‘sweep’ to rid Manhattan’s Lower East Side streets of small-time drug dealers. Most Federal prosecutors believe their limited resources for drug enforcement should be concentrated on international cases. They leave the $40 ‘busts’ to local authorities. Not Giuliani. He said his office could do both.” (Michael Winerip, “High-Profile Prosecutor,” The New York Times, 6/9/85)
Giuliani Even Went Undercover To Buy Crack To Show How Easy It Was To Purchase. “One thing his predecessors did not do is prosecute street-level drug cases. But Mr. Giuliani volunteered his office in a city police drive to rid the Lower East Side of its conspicuous drug commerce – an initiative that was not especially popular in the office or among defense lawyers. Last year Mr. Giuliani and Senator Alfonse M. D’Amato, in sunglasses and funny clothes, made a crack buy on 160th Street – to illustrate, they said, how easy it was.” (Laura Mansnerus, “Giuliani: The Public Record Of A Highly Public Prosecutor,” The New York Times, 11/8/87)
Residents Cheered When Giuliani Evicted Drug Dealers From Housing Projects. “Randy Mastro, a former federal prosecutor who became one of Giuliani’s top mayoral aides, said one of Giuliani’s achievements included using federal forfeiture laws to evict drug dealers from low-cost rental apartments in housing projects. ‘When agents showed up, the other residents of those projects literally stood and cheered,’ he said.” (Larry Neumeister, “Giuliani Was Hard-Charging Prosecutor,” The Associated Press, 4/9/07)
Then-Mayor Ed Koch Praised Giuliani’s “Federal Day” Initiative To Bust Street-Level Crimes As More Effective Than State Efforts. “Mr. Koch said that even criminals knew they were likely to escape severe punishment in state courts. He said this was demonstrated when the United States Attorney in Manhattan, Rudolph W. Giuliani, agreed to bring Federal rather than state charges against drug dealers picked up in sweeps on one day each week. ‘When a drug pusher is caught,’ Mr. Koch said, ‘he asks, is this the Federal day. And if the cop says, yes, this is the Federal day, the drug pushers in many cases try to break away and run because they know they are going to jail. And if it is state day, there is no resistance.’ According to city police officials, Federal judges impose heavier sentences than state judges in drug cases.” (Josh Barbanel, “Koch Recommends Stiffer Penalties And More Prisons,” The New York Times, 2/15/85)
AS MAYOR, GIULIANI TURNED CRIME CAPITAL OF AMERICA INTO ITS SAFEST LARGE CITY
When Mayor Giuliani Took Office, There Were 1,946 Murders In 1993 And 11,545 Major Crimes Per Week. (“1993 Index Of Crime By Metropolitan Statistical Area,” 1993 FBI Uniform Crime Report, p. 139)
“[N]ew York City Is Reinforcing Its Reputation As The Crime Capital Of America. Every 44 Seconds A Crime Is Reported To The Police, Every Four Minutes A Car Is Stolen, Every Six Minutes There Is A Mugging, Every Three Hours There Is A Rape And Every Eight Hours A Murder” (Michelangelo Rucci, “Tales Of A Big, Rotten Apple,” The Advertiser, 4/23/90)
Numerous Pundits And Reporters Described New York As Crime Capital Of America:
CNN’s Bill Press In 1998: “New York Used To Be The Crime Capital Of The Nation …” (CNN’s “Crossfire,” 2/27/98)
“The Big Apple, Once Dubbed The Crime Capital Of America …” (Devlin Barrett, “Apple Again Safest Big City In U.S.,” New York Post, 5/17/99)
“New York Was Transformed From The Crime Capital Of America …” (Mortimer B. Zuckerman, Op-Ed, “Rudy Runs The Rapids,” U.S. News & World Report, 4/9/07)
“For As Long As Anyone Can Remember, New York City Has Been Known As A Crime Capital …” (Ellis Henican, “City Takes A Beating Over Attack,” Newsday, 4/26/89)
“[N]ew York, Once The Crime Capital Of The US …” (Nicholas Wapshott, “Big Apple Eats Into Crime,” The Australian, 1/2/03)
Crime Dropped Dramatically Under Mayor Giuliani:
56% Drop In The FBI Crime Index Between 1993 And 2001, Far Outpacing 16% Decline In National Crime Index. (1993 FBI Uniform Crime Report; 2001 FBI Uniform Crime Report, www.fbi.gov/ucr/ucr.htm, Accessed 3/12/07)
66% Cut In Murder Rate; From 1,946 In 1993 To 649 In 2001. (“1993 Index Of Crime By Metropolitan Statistical Area,” 1993 FBI Uniform Crime Report, p. 139; “2001 Index Of Crime By Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2001 FBI Uniform Crime Report, www.fbi.gov/ucr/ucr.htm, Accessed 3/12/07)
Over 70% Drop In Shootings. (City Of New York Office Of Operations, Reengineering Municipal Services 1994-2001, p. 16)
New York Saw A 45.7% Decline In Rapes, A 67.2% Decline In Robberies, A 39.6% Decline In Aggravated Assault, A 68.2% Decline In Burglary, A 43% Decline In Larceny, And A 73.3% Decline In Motor Vehicle Theft. (1993 FBI Uniform Crime Report; 2001 FBI Uniform Crime Report, www.fbi.gov/ucr/ucr.htm, Accessed 3/12/07)
New York Observer: “The Phenomenal Decline Under Mr. Giuliani Of Larger Crimes Such As Murder, Robbery And Rape Was Matched By A Reduction In Quality-Of-Life Offenses – Which In Turn Contributed To The Drop In Major Crime …” (Editorial, “Return Of The Squeegee?” New York Observer, 1/7/02)
FBI Statistics Established New York City As Safest Large City In America. “According to FBI statistics, New York is the safest large city in the nation. From July 1, 1996, through June 30, 1997, the graphs showed 44% fewer major felonies and 60% fewer murders.” (John J. Goldman, “Giuliani’s State Of Mind Goes From N.Y. To National,” Los Angeles Times, 10/18/97)
“New York Ranked As The Safest Big City In The U.S. For The Fourth Straight Year As Crime Dropped Around The State And Nation, According To An FBI Report Released Yesterday.” (K.C. Baker and Corky Siemaszko, “N.Y. Notches 4th Year As Safest Major City,” Daily News, 5/17/99)
“Under Giuliani’s Leadership, New York City Was Able To Turn Its Crime Infamy Into The FBI’s Safest Large City In America For The Past Five Years.” (Aaron Fried, Op-Ed, “Small Numbers Oppose Time’s Person Of The Year,” The [Syracuse] Post-Standard, 5/3/02)
The Daily News: “New York Is The Safest Big City In The Nation.” (Editorial, “No Watchdog For NYPD,” Daily News, 3/28/00)
AD FACT:
Voice Over: “When government broke, he fixed it.”
BACKGROUND:
WHEN GIULIANI TOOK OFFICE, NEW YORK CITY WAS SEEN AS UNGOVERNABLE
“When A School Is Too Big, The Theory Goes, It’s Just Unmanageable. Remember How They Used To Say The Same Thing About New York City Itself?” (Editorial, “Bloomberg’s Blooper,” The New York Sun, 3/11/04)
“The City Felt Out Of Control And Unmanaged At The Close Of The David Dinkins Administration; Giuliani Was The Right Leader For The City When Chaos Needed To Be Tamed.” (Jack Newfield, Op-Ed, “Giuliani’s Eight Years,” Newsday, 12/30/01)
“[Giuliani] Will Become The 107th Mayor Of This Seemingly Ungovernable City.” (Bruce Frankel and Keith Greenberg, “Giuliani Edges Dinkins In Bitter NYC Contest,” USA Today, 11/3/93)
“‘Ungovernable’ Is The Adjective That Has Been Endlessly Applied To New York City, From The Tammany Hall Days To John Lindsay’s Wobbly Vietnam-Era Mayoralty, Through Blackouts And Riots, From Son Of Sam To The Squeegee Guys.” (Russell Shorto, Op-Ed, “All Political Ideas Are Local,” The New York Times, 10/2/05)
“He’s The Guy Who Was Elected To Govern The Nation’s Most Ungovernable City … How Will Rudolph Giuliani Do It?” (Rachelle Cohen, “Giuliani Gets The Vision Thing,” Boston Herald, 12/10/93)
George Will Said That New York Was Viewed As Impossible To Govern. George Will: “[T]he wisdom of New York was to be Mayor of New York … That it was impossible to govern the city. … When I say that being mayor of New York is demanding, I mean this. It has more people than do 39 other states. It is more difficult to govern than all 50 of the states. This for a reason — New York City has been liberalism’s laboratory in the 20th century, which means it is a seriously troubled place, or was. It produced a culture of complaint, which led to the politics of victimhood, which led to government by grievance groups, and the learned dependency of an over-developed welfare state.” (George Will, Remarks At CPAC, 3/2/07)
GIULIANI MADE NEW YORK CITY FLOURISH AGAIN
“The City Felt Out Of Control And Unmanaged At The Close Of The David Dinkins Administration; Giuliani Was The Right Leader For The City When Chaos Needed To Be Tamed.” (Jack Newfield, Op-Ed, “Giuliani’s Eight Years,” Newsday, 12/30/01)
The New York Times: “Before The World Trade Center Fell, Mr. Giuliani Was Already Nationally Known As A Crime-Fighter, The Man Who Proved New York Could Not Only Be Safe, But Polite And Orderly As Well. New Yorkers, Whose View Of Mr. Giuliani Is Fuller And More Complicated Than That Of Most Other Americans, Were Eternally Grateful For That Gift Of Freedom From Fear.” (Editorial, “Mayor Giuliani Bows Out,” The New York Times, 12/30/01)
The New York Times: “When Measured In That Way, Mr. Giuliani More Than Did The Job. He Restored New Yorkers’ Confidence In Their Ability To Control The City’s Destiny.” (Editorial, “Mayor Giuliani Bows Out,” The New York Times, 12/30/01)
Gov. Haley Barbour (R-MS): “And For Those Of Us Who Would Go To New York During That Period Of Time, The Change Was Breathtaking. It Was A Tremendous, Tremendous Difference That You Could See Even If You Only Went Up There Every Now And Then.” (Gov. Haley Barbour, Remarks, Pearl, MS, 9/4/07)
“As For Rudolph W. Giuliani, He Has Had A Remarkable Run As Mayor. He Has Accomplished Things That Some Thought Impossible: Cutting Crime.” (James Ahearn, “Politically Correct But Unwarranted,” The [Bergen County, NJ] Record, 12/30/01)
Stuart Rothenberg: “Remember, The Former New York Mayor Earned Raves For Cleaning Up New York City, Including The Once-Sleazy Times Square Area, An Accomplishment Once Considered Impossible By Most Americans, Certainly By Most New Yorkers.” (Stuart Rothenberg, Op-Ed, “Is Rudy Likely To Be A Favorite Or A Flop?” Roll Call, 1/16/07)
Robert Novak: “Well, Nearly Everybody Agrees That He Accomplished The Impossible By Turning Around The Nation’s Largest City …” (CNN’s “Crossfire,” 2/17/99)
AD FACT:
Voice Over: “And when the world wavered. And history hesitated. He never did. Rudy Giuliani. Leadership. When it matters most.”
Mayor Giuliani: “I’m Rudy Giuliani and I approve this message.”
BACKGROUND:
St. Petersburg Times: “Few New Yorkers Will Forget The Way Giuliani’s Natural Leadership Made Him A Whirlwind Of Instant Decision Making And Crisis Management While So Poignantly Expressing The Collective Grief Of A City And A Nation.” (Editorial, “Giuliani Won Many Hearts,” St. Petersburg Times, 12/29/01)
Time’s Eric Pooley: “With The President Out Of Sight For Most Of That Day, Giuliani Became The Voice Of America. Every Time He Spoke, Millions Of People Felt A Little Better. His Words Were Full Of Grief And Iron, Inspiring New York To Inspire The Nation.” (Eric Pooley, “Mayor Of The World,” Time, 12/31/01)
Pooley Said Mayor Giuliani Took On “Half A Dozen Critical Roles” And Performed Each One “Masterfully.” “When the day of infamy came, Giuliani seized it as if he had been waiting for it all his life, taking on half a dozen critical roles and performing each masterfully. Improvising on the fly, he became America’s homeland-security boss, giving calm, informative briefings about the attacks and the extraordinary response.” (Eric Pooley, “Mayor Of The World,” Time, 12/31/01)
San Francisco Chronicle Described Giuliani In The Wake Of 9/11 As “Calm, Soothing, And Omnipresent.” “Calm, soothing and omnipresent, [Giuliani] gracefully embodies his city’s power to endure. Dust-covered and soft-spoken, he traversed the Manhattan dead zone, congratulating exhausted firefighters, holding hands with grieving families and tracking rescue efforts. He became a stand-in leader for every corner of America dazed by the terrorist attacks.” (Editorial, “Rudy To The Rescue,” San Francisco Chronicle, 9/23/01)
Chicago Tribune Called Giuliani’s Leadership In The Immediate Aftermath Of The Attack “Inspiring.” “Giuliani deserves all the praise and then some. His instant leadership reflex immediately after the crisis--in an age when some politicians are afraid to come out on the street or in front of a microphone without professional prepping or prompting--was inspiring. He was able to bark orders one moment, console victims the next, empathize publicly to the point of sobbing in front of the television cameras, and preach optimism, all the while reassuring New Yorkers that everything was under control. Or at least as much under control as humanly possible.” (Editorial, “Rudy, New York’s Rock,” Chicago Tribune, 9/24/01)
Washington Times Said That Giuliani Set A “Modern Benchmark for Leadership.” “If it could be said that New York got any kind of a break on September 11, it came from the fact that Rudy Giuliani was mayor. His unbowed strength, steady calm and unstinting devotion to the city during this extraordinary crisis has set a modern benchmark for leadership – besides being of immeasurable comfort and aid to the citizens of New York and, indeed, the nation.” (Editorial, “The Giuliani Effect,” Washington Times, 11/9/01)
Daily News Called Giuliani “Our Tower” And “The Leader We Needed In Our Terrible Hour.” “If ever a man had his destiny, Sept. 11 was Giuliani’s. The twin towers lay in ruins, the mayor who had returned an "ungovernable" city to its rightful place as capital of the world had nearly perished. Yet here he was, our tower – solid, steady, the leader we needed in our terrible hour. Thank you, Rudy. We will never forget.” (Editorial, “The Mayor’s Finest Hour,” Daily News, 12/27/01)
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Rudy Giuliani Campaign Launches West Palm Beach, Florida Television Ad
The Rudy Giuliani Presidential Committee today announced the launch of a new television ad entitled “It Matters.” The ad is airing in West Palm Beach, Florida.
Visit http://www.joinrudy2008.com to view the ad. The script is below.
Script for “It Matters”:
Voice Over: “When corruption ruled, he challenged it. When welfare failed, he changed it. When crime thrived, he fought it. When government broke, he fixed it. And when the world wavered. And history hesitated. He never did. Rudy Giuliani. Leadership. When it matters most.”
Mayor Giuliani: “I’m Rudy Giuliani and I approve this message.”
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What They’re Saying … About The “Florida Is Rudy Country” Tour
The St. Petersburg Times’ David DeCamp: “All eyes on him, Rudy Giuliani hit the hot Republican issues like it was batting practice. Cut taxes, fight terrorism, stop illegal immigration – whack, whack, whack.” (David DeCamp, “Giuliani Strives To Rebuild Momentum,” The St. Petersburg Times, 1/15/08)
DeCamp: “On the sixth leg of a 15-event bus tour [Giuliani] moved with ease on stage Monday at the Shell Point retirement village church, gesturing and laying out his plans. More than 1,000 people listened.” (David DeCamp, “Giuliani Strives To Rebuild Momentum,” The St. Petersburg Times, 1/15/08)
The Tampa Tribune’s William March: “To some, he has almost rock-star status.” (William March, “Giuliani Bus Tour Rolls Through Area,” The Tampa Tribune, 1/15/08)
March: “Crowds were enthusiastic at most of the stops, swelled with retired New Yorkers – a group likely to be a major advantage for Giuliani in Florida.” (William March, “Giuliani Bus Tour Rolls Through Area,” The Tampa Tribune, 1/15/08)
Former New York City and current Sarasota resident Bridget Spiess: “‘I’d feel safer with him as president than any other candidate, Republican or Democrat … I lived through many mayors of New York and he was the best.’” (William March, “Giuliani Bus Tour Rolls Through Area,” The Tampa Tribune, 1/15/08)
Sarasota resident Joe Summonte: “‘I think he’s clearly going to carry Florida …’” (William March, “Giuliani Bus Tour Rolls Through Area,” The Tampa Tribune, 1/15/08)
The Naples Daily News’ Liz Freeman: “For 65-year-old Naples retiree Ron Fiano, a Vietnam War veteran, Giuliani’s mention of more help for veterans was important. He brought his copy of Giuliani’s new book, ‘Leadership,’ which Giuliani autographed. ‘I thought it was great,’ Fiano said afterward. ‘He touched on all the issues. He touched on veterans issues. You can tell he’s thought something on veterans.’” (Liz Freeman, “Giuliani Touts Tax Cut, Immigration Plan,” The Naples Daily News, 1/15/08)
Naples resident Helen Minogue: “‘[Rudy] makes a lot of sense … I wouldn’t get up at 7 a.m. in the morning for anybody else.’” (Liz Freeman, “Giuliani Touts Tax Cut, Immigration Plan,” The Naples Daily News, 1/15/08)
The Naples Daily News reported Giuliani’s crowd seemed “particularly jazzed.” (“Giuliani Appears Unfazed By Latest Dip In Polls,” The Naples Daily News, 1/15/08)
Clearwater Small Business Owner David Earp: “‘[Giuliani] did a phenomenal job in New York City, which is one of the toughest markets in the world … New York faced a lot of the same things that the overall state of Florida is facing right now and he did an incredible job putting that ship right.’” (Stacey Eidson, “Giuliani Appeals For Votes At Mel’s Diner,” The Bradenton Herald, 1/15/08)
The Bradenton Herald’s Stacey Eidson reported that when Giuliani arrived the crowd “instantly became energized.” (Stacey Eidson, “Giuliani Finding ‘Love’ In Area,” The Bradenton Herald, 1/15/08)
“Kim Gennocro, of River Club in East Manatee, brought her two daughters, Angela, 10, and Julia, 6, to Mel’s Diner to meet Giuliani because she believes his leadership during the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks proved he should become the next president.” (Stacey Eidson, “Giuliani Finding ‘Love’ In Area,” The Bradenton Herald, 1/15/08)
Gennocro: “‘When you think back to Sept. 11, his visibility in leading New York through such a tragedy was so admirable … If he could lead our country in that same amazing way, that would be what I’m looking for.’” (Stacey Eidson, “Giuliani Finding ‘Love’ In Area,” The Bradenton Herald, 1/15/08)
The Daytona Beach News-Journal’s Melanie Stawicki Azam: “[Holly Hill City Commissioner Liz Towsley] told the candidate her son, who signed up for the Marines in the wake of 9/11, is preparing to deploy on his third tour in Iraq. ‘He re-upped because Mayor Guiliani [sic] is running for president and because he believes in what he is doing …’” (Melanie Stawicki Azam, “Giuliani Campaigns In Southeast Volusia,” The Daytona Beach News-Journal, 1/16/08)
The Florida Times-Union’s Beth Kormanik: “The speech was embraced by veterans such as Dave Schlessinger of Jacksonville, a retired Navy chief electrician technician. … ‘I love his stand on fighting terrorism,’ he said. …” (Beth Kormanik, “Giuliani Courts First Coast Military,” The Florida Times-Union, 1/16/08)
Kormanik: “[Giuliani] announced his support for bringing the aircraft carrier George H.W. Bush to Mayport Naval Station when it is commissioned in 2009 – to huge applause from the several hundred people in attendance.” (Beth Kormanik, “Giuliani Courts First Coast Military,” The Florida Times-Union, 1/16/08)
The Panama City News Herald’s Ryan Burr: “Turnout for the rally was high.” (Ryan Burr, “Rudy’s Pitch,” Panama City News Herald, 1/17/08)
Burr: “A conference room in the Student Union’s east wing, where the rally was held, had to be opened to encompass a second room, and still many people were standing, some into the hallway.” (Ryan Burr, “Rudy’s Pitch,” Panama City News Herald, 1/17/08)
“Jim Barr, [Gulf Coast Community College’s] coordinator of education programs, said Giuliani’s staff anticipated turnout of about 100, but Barr said it was closer to 500.” (Ryan Burr, “Rudy’s Pitch,” Panama City News Herald, 1/17/08)
Barr: “‘This was a very enthusiastic crowd …’” (Ryan Burr, “Rudy’s Pitch,” Panama City News Herald, 1/17/08)
The Pensacola News Journal’s Thyrie Bland: “After visiting Gulf Breeze, Giuliani attended a rally at The Fish House on Barracks Street in downtown Pensacola, where a boisterous crowd of about 200 people packed the restaurant.” (Thyrie Bland, “Giuliani Touts His Plan For National Catastrophe Fund,” The Pensacola News Journal, 1/17/08)
“Moneen McElhatten of Gulf Breeze said she supports Giuliani because of his leadership during the terrorist attacks. ‘I think we are in a stagnant stage, and he could help lift us …’” (Thyrie Bland, “Giuliani Touts His Plan For National Catastrophe Fund,” The Pensacola News Journal, 1/17/08)
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Giuliani News Roundup
McCain expects Martinez's help -- so does Giuliani
MiamiHerald.com - Miami,FL,USA
But Martinez isn't sure he'll endorse him now because he feels badly for McCain's opponent, Rudy Giuliani -- who also thought he had a shot at Martinez's ...
Giuliani Vows To Send NASA Back to Moon
Orlando Sentinel - Orlando,FL,USA
Former NY Mayor Rudy Giuliani on Friday pledged his unwavering support to return America to the moon and send astronauts to Mars, promising that if he were ...
Giuliani plummets, McCain jumps in Pennsylvania poll
Allentown Morning Call - Allentown,PA,USA
By Josh Drobnyk Call Washington Bureau January 18, 2008 WASHINGTON - In a sign of Rudy Giuliani's sagging political fortunes, the former New York City ...
Guests For The Sunday TV News Shows
Guardian Unlimited - UK
From AP By AP ABC's ``This Week'' - Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Rep. Charles Rangel, DN.Y. CBS' ``Face the Nation'' - Former Sen. ...
A look at Rudy Giuliani ad
MiamiHerald.com - Miami,FL,USA
Audio: Narrator: ''Taxes, insurance, housing, all a mess, but Rudy Giuliani knows how to fix those. He reformed welfare before others tried, and delivered ...
Giuliani promises to make space a priority if elected president
MiamiHerald.com - Miami,FL,USA
By MARCIA DUNN AP Aerospace Writer Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani promised aerospace leaders Friday that he will work to close the looming ...
Biographical information on Rudy Giuliani
The Southern - Carbondale,IL,USA
By AP CAREER _ Stepped down this year as head of Giuliani Partners consulting firm; New York mayor, 1994-2001; US attorney, Southern District of New York, ...
Why Rudy Giuliani's Survival Depends on Winning the Florida Primary
U.S. News & World Report - Washington,DC,USA
By Liz Halloran ORLANDO—When former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani settled on his unorthodox strategy to win the GOP presidential nomination—ignore failures ...
Giuliani, McCain Closest to Voters
Outside the Beltway - VA,USA
Thus, Rudy Giuliani and John McCain have to be pleased by the results. Matt Yglesias correctly notes that it’s “bad news for liberals” that “the ...
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Wednesday, January 9, 2008
Bloggers on Giuliani
Rudy Giuliani Watch: On To Florida
By Flap Rudy Giuliani addressing Team Giuliani after the New Hampshire Primary. Rudy Giuliani is on to Florida in his big states strategy. The latest Florida poll has Rudy leading both Mike Huckabee and John McCain by 5 Points. ...
FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog - http://flapsblog.com
THE REAL RUDY GIULIANI
By TPR(TPR) DAN COLLINS (coauthor, Grand Illusion: The Untold Story of Rudy Giuliani and 9/11): One of his closest guys is Denny Young. If Rudy sees something in the papers that pisses him off, Denny tries to calm him down. ...
JUST POLITICS - http://prorev.com/politics.htm
MyRaganTV Video - What communicators can learn from Rudy ...
Ragan writer and president of Ragan Consulting Jim Ylisela talks about what communicators can learn about social media and executive communication from presidental candidate Rudy Giuliani.
MyRaganTV - Latest Video Uploads - http://www.myragantv.com/
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Giuliani News Roundup
Pats divided on one issue: The presidential election
Boston Herald - United States
Everyone from John McCain to Barack Obama to Rudy Giuliani to Mike Huckabee to even Hillary Clinton drew some support. “As of right now I don’t have a ...
Giuliani town meeting Saturday in Bradenton
Bradenton Herald - FL, United States
By VIN MANNIX Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani will hold a town meeting at 4 pm Saturday at the Senior Enrichment Center, 1816 Ninth St. W., ...
Giuliani Moves On To Florida Before NH Results
RTT News - Williamsville,NY,USA
1/9/2008 12:53:12 AM Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani moved on to Florida, which he hopes will be friendlier territory, without waiting for ...
McCain and Bush’s Heirs
New York Times - United States
On the campaign trail, he sometimes sounds no different from Rudy Giuliani or Mitt Romney. But Mr. McCain is still different from them. ...
Giuliani Focuses on Florida After Loss
The Associated Press - MANCHESTER, NH (AP) — Republican Rudy Giuliani didn't wait to hear how badly he fared in New Hampshire before pressing onward to what he hopes will be ...
Fox “Stages” a GOP Debate; Giuliani and Clinton Founder
WEBCommentary - USA
Ron Paul (R-TX), despite Paul’s having almost tripled invitee Rudy Giuliani’s performance in the Iowa caucuses (10 percent to 3.5 percent), ...
Forgetting NH, Giuliani Heads South
Washington Post - United States
By Joel Achenbach MANCHESTER, NH, 8:30 pm -- Rudy Giuliani, getting out of town quick after his phoned-in New Hampshire bid left him fighting Ron Paul for ...
For Mitt, Mike and Rudy, New Hampshire church primary polling site ...
Salt Lake Tribune - United States
Mitt Romney and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani all dropped by the Brookside Congregational Church in Manchester before 8 am to welcome those ...
Giuliani hopes tax speech will build momentum in Florida
Florida Times-Union - Jacksonville,FL,USA
Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani is heading to Florida after poor showings in Iowa and New Hampshire hoping to build momentum in this ...
Giuliani supporters unphased
PolitickerNJ - NJ,USA
By Matt Friedman He’s been buried in the national headlines, but Rudy Giuliani’s New Jersey supporters say that he remains a viable candidate. ...
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Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Giuliani News Roundup
Poll: Parties' Presidential Races TightThe Associated Press - ... 33 percent Barack Obama, 33 percent John Edwards, 20 percent ___ THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICANS Mike Huckabee, 25 percent Rudy Giuliani, 20 percent John ...See all stories on this topic
DNC: Republican Presidential Candidates Offer Another Bush Term on ...Reuters - USA[Washington Post editorial, 10/16/2007] RUDY GIULIANI: Defended Bush's Tax Cuts. "He [Giuliani] strongly defended the Bush tax cuts, saying 'tax reductions ...
Clinton, Giuliani Get Most Funding From MarylandersWBAL - Baltimore,MD,USATopping the Republican fundraising list in Maryland is Rudy Giuliani, who had pulled in nearly $623000 through the end of October. ...
Giuliani emphasizes electibility in general electionBoston Globe - United StatesAP Writer / January 7, 2008 HUDSON, NH—With less than 24 hours left before the first-in-the-nation primary, Republican Rudy Giuliani spent his final hours ...
Rudy Giuliani Touts High Tech Wall to Block Mexican ImmigrantsNHPR - Concord,NH,USARepublican presidential contender Rudy Giuliani attracted about 100 people to a town hall meeting in Hudson where he spoke about immigration, ...
Jonathan Kay: John McCain for presidentNational Post - Toronto,Ontario,CanadaIn Saturday’s edition of the National Post, David Frum gamely argued that Huckabee’s takedown of Romney will ultimately advantage Rudy Giuliani, ...
Analysis: Giuliani Seeking AttentionThe Associated Press - MANCHESTER, NH (AP) — Rudy Giuliani has never had a problem getting attention — until now. "We are in good shape," the Republican presidential candidate ...
Friends and foe descend on GiulianiFoster's Daily Democrat - Dover,NH,USABy BEVERLEY WANG AP Writer NASHUA, NH (AP) _ Rudy Giuliani spent the last full day of campaigning for the New Hampshire primary among friends and foes, ...
Giuliani coming to WPB and gets on the bus this weekendPalm Beach Post - FL, United StatesBy Brian E. Crowley Monday, January 7, 2008, 11:10 AM Rudy Giuliani will be in West Palm Beach and Melbourne on Wednesday - details to come. ...
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Saturday, January 5, 2008
Bloggers on Giuliani
Rudy Giuliani Appeals to Your Fears, Goes for Terror Votes
Rudy Giuliani has a new ad in New Hampshire and Florida, the only two January states left that he’s contesting. The ad’s message is simple, and shows just how blatant the Rudy campaign has become in their appeals to fear — that if we ... Digg - http://digg.com/
Rudy Giuliani Announces Endorsement of Former Nashua Mayor
The Rudy Giuliani Presidential Committee today announced that Don Davidson, the former Mayor of Nashua, has endorsed Rudy Giuliani for President. Davidson is recognized as a longtime local government leader in the state’s second largest ... Join Rudy 2008 - http://www.joinrudy2008.com
Viva Rudy en Florida!
By Monitor Staff
Rudy Giuliani already curries favor with Cuban Americans for his anti-Castro attitude, and yesterday he issued his first radio ad in Spanish. The ad is titled "Liderazgo," or "Leadership," and will air in Florida. A translated script: ... Primary Monitor Blog - Your source... - http://www.yourconcord.com/primaryblog
Frank Guinta: Rudy Giuliani Is The Proven Leader America Needs
Like Ronald Reagan before him, Rudy is relentlessly optimistic about the future of our country. In these challenging times for America, we need a leader of uncommon ability. Without question, that leader is Rudy Giuliani. ... Join Rudy 2008 - http://www.joinrudy2008.com
Rudy Giuliani, terror profiteer
By point A few months ago I was involved in a somewhat political conversation with two colleagues (never a good idea, by the way) and both of them were quite fond of Rudy Giuliani. Of course I was shocked, so I inquired further. ... Little Bites of Point - http://www.pointbite.com/
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Giuliani News Roundup
In NH Giuliani says he's for change, too
Boston Globe - United States
AP Writer / January 4, 2008 SALEM, NH—Having sat out the Iowa caucuses, Rudy Giuliani returned to New Hampshire Friday to campaign for the primary, ...
9/11 turns against Rudy Giuliani
Los Angeles Times - CA,USA
Rudy Giuliani has not had a good month. He’s slipped in the polls, the wisdom of his multi-state strategy has been called into question, and he could use a ...
Giuliani catches on to the “change” theme
Politics on the Hudson - White Plains,NY,USA
He didn’t compete that hard in Iowa, but Rudy Giuliani seems to have heard the talk that emerged from Thursday’s caucus about this being a “change” election ...
Pro-Life Groups Not Surprised Abortion Support Hurt Rudy Giuliani ...
LifeNews.com - Helena,MT,USA
“Voters in the heartland of America overwhelmingly supported five different pro-life candidates over pro-abortion candidate Rudy Giuliani," he told ...
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Friday, January 4, 2008
Statement from Giuliani Campaign Manager Michael DuHaime
Giuliani Campaign Manager Michael DuHaime made the following statement regarding the Iowa Caucuses:
"We congratulate Mike Huckabee on a hard-fought victory in Iowa. This race is wide open and we will continue to run a national primary campaign designed to win the number of delegates necessary to become the Republican nominee. Rudy is the only Republican candidate who can not only win the primary and general elections, but will turn purple states red."
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Bloggers on Giuliani
Rudy Giuliani Floats Dick Cheney For Vice President
In an event in New Hampshire last night, Rudy Giuliani suggested that -- if he were to be elected president -- he would like to choose someone like Dick Cheney to be his Vice President. "In an answer that mentioned Cheney more than once ... Digg - http://digg.com/
Rudy Giuliani discusses possible Cabinet choices and Vice-President
By Bill Jempty Honestly I don't think Rudy will have to spend much time thinking about these matters come February. From AP- Giuliani pivoted from a question about potential picks for secretary of... Wizbang Politics - http://politics.wizbangblog.com/
Rudy Giuliani Will Say What He Means, Do What He Says (Sen. Kit Bond)
By Mo. GOP Sen. Kit Bond The American people want and deserve a genuine leader, and that is Rudy Giuliani. Rudy has the leadership qualities and the experience to handle whatever challenges America faces in the next decade. The Hill Blog - http://blog.thehill.com
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Giuliani News Roundup
Giuliani picks Hialeah over Iowa
MiamiHerald.com - Miami,FL,USA
BY LAURA FIGUEROA Rudy Giuliani may have been way behind the top Republican presidential contenders in Thursday night's Iowa caucus, but he was hoping to be ...
MIKE HUCKABEE, RUDY GIULIANI
National Review Online - New York,NY,USA
"We congratulate Mike Huckabee on a hard-fought victory in Iowa. This race is wide open and we will continue to run a national primary campaign designed to ...
Giuliani Camps Out In New Hampshire As Late-State Strategy Implodes
Huffington Post - New York,NY,USABedford, NH -- With his "late state strategy" slowly imploding, Rudy Giuliani now plans to campaign full-time from this Friday through next Tuesday's ...
After Iowa: Is there room for both McCain and Giuliani?
Ha'aretz - Tel Aviv,Israel... leads in New Hampshire, McCain takes national Republican lead in a new Pew Research Center poll - ahead of Rudy Giuliani, the front-runner all year. ...
UPDATE 1-Giuliani says he's keeping his nerve as Iowa votes
Reuters - USA
By Claudia Parsons BEDFORD, NH, Jan 3 (Reuters) - Rudy Giuliani was the only leading White House hopeful not in Iowa on Thursday as voters there kick off ...
Giuliani skips Iowa for Hialeah
MiamiHerald.com - Miami,FL,USA
BY LAURA FIGUEROA Forgoing the frost -- and the all-important last-minute Iowa caucus campaigning -- Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani spoke ...
Giuliani: Muslims "a people perverted"
Guardian Unlimited - UK
If you've been listening to the war-mongering coming out of Rudy Giuliani since the start of his deteriorating presidential campaign, you'd think the United ...
Giuliani has no regrets on skipping Iowa
Newsday - Long Island,NY,USA
BEDFORD, NH - In danger of finishing last in Iowa and losing steam in New Hampshire, Rudy Giuliani said today has no regrets about largely skipping the Iowa ...
Giuliani Says Yes to Press, Campaign Says No
CBS News - New York,NY,USA
BEDFORD, NH -- A small skirmish between the Rudy Giuliani campaign and local media erupted following a New Hampshire town hall, showing confusion among ...
Iowa GOP: Head Versus Heart
The Associated Press - ... businessman with a powerhouse organization and a seemingly endless supply of money to go the distance — and thwart the socially liberal Rudy Giuliani. ...
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Thursday, January 3, 2008
McCain News Roundup
Winners? How About Obama, Huckabee and John McCain?
Yahoo! News - USA
By this measure, bet on evangelical Republican Mike Huckabee -- with a surging John McCain to show -- and populist Democrat John Edwards with Hillary ...
Romney uses real people to hit McCain
Boston Globe - United States
Mitt Romney is using surrogates to criticize John McCain, his main rival in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary. But instead of elected officials, ...
McCain overtakes Giuliani in national Republican pollingS
ydney Morning Herald - Sydney,New South Wales,Australia
WASHINGTON: John McCain has moved into the national lead for the Republican Party's nomination for the US presidency, a poll released on the eve of the ...
Detroit News Endorses McCain in Primary
Seattle Times - United States
Republican presidential hopeful John McCain has won the endorsement of The Detroit News, which cited the Arizona senator's fiscal conservatism and strong ...
Poll shock as McCain bounces back
NEWS.com.au - Australia
VETERAN US senator John McCain has mounted an extraordinary political comeback, taking the lead yesterday in a crucial national political poll for the ...
McCain's New Sales Pitch: I'm Old, I Suck and Nobody Likes Me
AlterNet - San Francisco,CA,USA
John McCain admits that he's probably too old to serve more than four years in the White House. McCain's got a new sales pitch: I'm old, I suck, ...
Technology Voters' Guide: John McCain
CNET News.com - San Francisco,CA,USA
John McCain: I believe that we must promote competition and reduce regulation in order to secure lower prices and higher-quality services for consumers and ...
Addressing age issue, McCain says he may seek only one term
Boston Globe - United States
PEMBROKE, NH - John McCain is 71 years old, but the issue of his age comes up only occasionally on the campaign trail. So it was striking when at Pembroke ...
McCain takes lead in national poll
Arizona Republic - Phoenix,AZ,USA
John McCain returned to Iowa on Wednesday to launch a last-minute campaign blitz before tonight's presidential caucuses, buoyed by a new national poll that ...
Carla Marinucci: McCain Veni, Vidi...Vici
San Francisco Chronicle - CA, USA
John McCain -- just 24 hours before the Iowa caucuses and riding a wave of new GOP presidential candidate momentum in the polls. ...
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Bloggers on Giuliani
Judith Regan takes on News Corp, and Rudy Giuliani
Former HarperCollins publisher claims she has a tape that can prove she was asked to keep quiet about her affair with Bernard Kerik, friend and ally of 2008 presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani.Digg / Entertainment / upcoming - http://digg.com/view/entertainment
What's that sucking sound? (The Rudy Giuliani version.)
By Jay Stevens You may already be familiar with my extreme antipathy for Rudy Giuliani. (If not, take a trip down memory lane.) The guy's batshit crazy and crooked. Well, according to Josh Marshall, we might be seeing some good news: ...Left in the West - Front Page - http://www.leftinthewest.com
Giuliani LOVES ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS
By mortensign With Rudy Giuliani,” 9/7/01). “The city of New York, quite frankly, is quite tolerant of undocumented immigration and this shouldn’t surprise you because I’ve been the Mayor for a long time and outspoken on this issue, even nationally, ...Killbuck Creek Politics - http://killbuckcreekpolitics.wordpress.com
Rudy Giuliani Watch: On To Florida for the Iowa Caucus
By Flap Republican presidential candidate and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani speaks with a retired Army veteran after speaking at a Town Hall Meeting at the Plymouth Regional Senior Center in Plymouth, New Hampshire December 30, 2007. ...FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog - http://flapsblog.com
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Giuliani News Roundup
McCain Ties Giuliani Nationwide, Equals Romney in New Hampshire
Bloomberg - USA... Romney's lead in New Hampshire and increased his support nationwide, challenging Rudy Giuliani's status as the party's front-runner, two new polls said. ...
Giuliani counting the ways to get some media attention
FOX News - USA
by Mosheh Oinounou Somersworth, NH — Asked whether he was worried about his lack of media coverage Wednesday afternoon, Rudy Giuliani grinned and turned the ...
Giuliani Contradicts Statements on Bhutto in Ad
CBS News - New York,NY,USA
HOOKSETT, NH -- In a television advertisement set to run nationally the same day as Iowa’s caucus, Rudy Giuliani’s campaign uses a photo of assassinated ...
Giuliani the choice
Kansas City Star - MO,USA
The facts about Rudy Giuliani speak for themselves; now it is a matter of whether the electorate will listen. This weblog only allows comments from ...
Back on the stump, Giuliani now trails in poll
Chicago Tribune - United States
By Jim Tankersley Tribune national correspondent 6:52 PM CST, January 2, 2008 SOMERSWORTH, NH - Rudy Giuliani resurfaced on the Republican presidential ...
Ad Cast Giuliani As Nation's Protector
The Associated Press - Giuliani: "I'm Rudy Giuliani and I approved this message." KEY IMAGES: The announcer's voice is carefully synchronized with specific visual images. ...
On eve of caucuses, Giuliani skips Iowa
CNN - USAWOLFEBORO, New Hampshire (CNN) -- Lagging in the polls in Iowa, Republican presidential hopeful Rudy Giuliani skipped ahead to New Hampshire Wednesday to ...
New Polls Show Tight Races in NH
The Associated Press - McCain, who is focusing heavily on New Hampshire, has gained recently at the expense of former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, whose strategy is to score big ...
Giuliani muses on vice president, cabinet
Boston Globe - United StatesAP Writer / January 2, 2008 HOOKSETT, NH—Would a Rudy Giuliani administration be populated with a cabinet of Republican rivals and a powerful, all-knowing ...
Giuliani returns to 9/11 in new ad
Boston Globe - United StatesBy Brian C. Mooney, Globe Staff Sagging in the polls, presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani's campaign will air a new television ad designed to focus ...
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Wednesday, January 2, 2008
Giuliani Ad: Ready
America's next President must understand that the threats we face are real and require we meet them with strength, not weakness. A dangerous world looms with threats gathering over the horizon and America must stay on offense to keep its people safe.
Click here to watch Rudy's new TV Ad, "Ready"
In these dangerous times, America needs a proven leader. Rudy Giuliani has been Tested by crisis, he is Ready to defend America and he understands that the time to confront this enemy is Now. Rudy will keep us on offense in the Terrorists' War on Us and he supports a policy of victory in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Just as the Greatest Generation defeated Nazi tyranny, and their sons and daughters brought the world in from the Cold, a new generation of Americans must now vanquish a brutal enemy in Islamic fundamentalism. With Rudy Giuliani as President, America will have a Commander-in-Chief committed to that cause.
Sincerely, Patrick OxfordCampaign ChairmanRudy Giuliani Presidential Committee
P.S. To watch Rudy's new TV Ad, "Ready," please click here.
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Candidates hone message and hunt voters in Iowa
PERRY, Iowa (Reuters) - White House hopefuls honed their closing messages and traded jabs over their records in Iowa on Monday, three days before the state opens the presidential nominating battle in a too-close-to-call race.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080101/ts_nm/usa_politics1_dc
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Monday, December 31, 2007
Giuliani: Strategy Memo: Looking Good
As voting nears in the Republican nomination process, our campaign remains convinced that our strategy we have long had in place is right – bold, innovative and designed to deal with the radically different election calendar. While many of the beltway insiders seem to remain committed to the old "Carter/Clinton" approach and have questioned the adjustments we have made to our strategic thinking based on the new calendar, we clearly have a winning plan to secure the nomination in an election cycle unlike any other. History will prove us right.
As we enter the final stages of the campaign we have seen a tightening in the national polling and the emergence of a real 5-way race for the Republican nomination. Mayor Giuliani has led virtually every national major media poll conducted in 2007. We are now at a point in the campaign where we are seeing increasing polling volatility as public attention turns to the horse races in individual states.
Important to our long term strategy, Mayor Giuliani has enjoyed a commanding lead in nearly every public poll conducted in the delegate rich states of Florida, California, Illinois, New York and New Jersey.
2007 November – December Public Polling Averages Mayor Giuliani and Closest Opponent in state polling
State Mayor Giuliani Average Closest Opponent Average
Florida 30% 17%
California 29% 15%
New Jersey 38% 12%
New York 40% 12%
The Primary Calendar2008 will be unlike any recent Republican nomination process. What typically has been a primary process that stretched into March or April has been accelerated and compacted into a 33 day sprint.
Our rivals seemingly have built campaigns based on the old calendars’ strategies — a couple of very early state wins to propel them deeper in to the nomination process. To the contrary, our plan allocates time and resources to the many states which vote a bit later — on January 29 (Florida) and February 5.
For the record, only 78 delegates will be picked prior to Florida whereas 1,039 delegates will be picked on January 29 and February 5. Additionally, it is important to note that voting HAS ALREADY STARTED in Florida, Missouri, Georgia, Illinois, New Jersey and New York – tens of thousands of people will have already cast their ballot by the time you are reading this note. And more February 5th states, including California will begin early and absentee voting soon. All of this points to the folly of over-estimating the impact of the results of Iowa and New Hampshire and the wisdom of our strategy.
Putting a high priority on spending our time and money in a proportional basis in Florida and the large delegate states voting on February 5th is clearly the right thing to do.
The Early States
The pre-February 5th states are Iowa, Wyoming, New Hampshire, Michigan, Nevada, South Carolina, Florida and Maine. Delegates are at stake in just five states before February 5. Wyoming will select a portion of its delegates at their caucus in January, but will not allocate all of their delegates until later in the year. Iowa, Nevada and Maine award NO delegates at this time. Florida is the big prize on January 29, with 57 winner-take-all delegates – the only winner-take-all state before February 5th.
Pre February 5th Contests
Date State Estimated Delegates after RNC Penalty
1/3 Iowa 0*
1/5 Wyoming 12
1/8 New Hampshire 12
1/15 Michigan 30
1/19 Nevada 0*
1/19 South Carolina 24
1/29 Florida 57
2/1 Maine 0*
Because states selecting delegates before February 5th are in violation of Republican National Committee rules, those states have been penalized half of their normal delegates; Iowa, Nevada, and Maine do not select any delegates at their caucuses, but rather at state party conventions in late spring. The states before February 5th will allocate delegates to multiple candidates under varying state election laws and state party rules. Thus, it is highly unlikely that any single candidate will win all of any one state’s delegates except Florida’s, which will be winner-take-all.
Florida accounts for more than 40% of all delegates allocated before February 5th and has almost twice as many delegates as the next largest state. It is therefore easy and correct to conclude that in a multiple candidate race, whichever candidate wins Florida, with their winner-take-all delegates, will very likely have a delegate lead going into February 5th.
February 5th
On February 5th, 982 delegates will be in play. Most importantly, a bloc of 201 winner-take-all delegates will be at stake in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Delaware, all states in which Mayor Giuliani has double digit leads. Aside from the huge northeast delegate prize, Missouri will award 58 winner-take-all delegates, and Senator Kit Bond’s endorsement gives our organization a great statewide network there. Also on February 5th, large states such as California, Georgia and Illinois will award most of their delegates by Congressional District vote. It is for this reason that Mayor Giuliani has spent a great deal of time in each of those states and has always polled well in them.
Path to VictoryIf Mayor Giuliani wins even a minority share of the 78 delegates from pre Florida states, wins Florida’s 57 delegates, wins the 201 available in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Delaware, and wins only a plurality of delegates from large February 5th states like California, Georgia and Illinois, he will have a commanding lead in delegates for the nomination with more than half of the delegates selected.
State Polling and OutlooksAs noted above, polling has been and will continue to be dynamic and incredibly volatile. In Iowa for instance -just in December- we have seen polls placing the Mayor’s support from as high as 3rd to as low as 6th place. Senator McCain caucus support has ranged from a high of 20% to a low of 5%. And polling over the Christmas and New Year holidays will not be any less fickle.
In Iowa, one could anticipate that Mayor Giuliani might finish outside of the top 3. Governors Huckabee and Romney are battling it out for first, Senator Thompson is spending a lot of time in the state over the closing days of the campaign and Senator McCain received a recent boost from the endorsement of the Des Moines Register. While placement in Iowa will be a focus of the media, it should be remembered that Senator McCain came in 5th place in Iowa (behind Bauer and Keyes) before winning New Hampshire.
The most covered story out of Iowa will likely be the Democratic race, but on the Republican side, the Huckabee/Romney race will be very interesting. The Romney campaign has invested millions of dollars and assembled a massive paid staff; some now question whether Mitt Romney’s Iowa investment and organization will prevail over Mike Huckabee. While Governor Huckabee was climbing rapidly in polls before Christmas, he now seems to have plateaued. Governor Romney’s strategy has long been based on winning the first few races to build momentum. Many believe the Romney organization (and a few million more dollars of get-out-the-vote money) will pull this one out for their campaign.
New Hampshire is only a few days after Iowa and voters there are notoriously late deciders on their presidential primary vote. New Hampshire will be very much in flux after Iowa. Governor Romney was governor of neighboring Massachusetts and Senator McCain won New Hampshire in 2000. In addition to Senator McCain’s base of support, he has recently put together a series of high profile endorsements in the area to further reinvigorate his campaign. The unprecedented personal spending by Governor Romney should not be underestimated. It is apparent that he has put more than $40 million of his own money into this race.
Accurate polling in New Hampshire will be nearly impossible, with the holidays complicating it logistically and the Iowa news cycle dominating press and potentially disrupting the order of the race.
Although we should expect to see more polling from South Carolina, Michigan and the other early states, one should remember that because of the furious pace of the election calendar and the never ending news cycle, polling will be very difficult to conduct, have a very short shelf life and become even more unstable and unreliable. The polling picture will be further blurred with the range of new polling methodologies that are being tested, ranging from robotic calling to internet polling.
Thus, we should all be ready for a barrage of state and national polls in January with seemingly contradictory results — some of it good news, much of it related to early January states as bad news. We should all have confidence in the strong organizations and also in the strong bases of support in Florida and other February 5th states which will endure the ups and downs of January.
Also, by the time we get to Florida, the field of candidates and the race will look remarkably different than it does right now. Florida will be the important battleground not only for our campaign but for the race itself.
Polling in Florida has been stable all year. For most of the second half of 2007, the support for Mayor Giuliani has averaged 33 or 34%. Virtually every other candidate in the race has polled in second place to us at one point or another over the year. We have remained on top in Florida. As in all races, expect to see signs of tightening in Florida as Election Day approaches, but also expect us to consolidate more support as candidates drop out of the race. We are very proud of our Florida organization, which, like all of our state organizations, is prepared for the long, hard fight to win.
One should conclude, as voting nears, that our campaign is focused on the right prize – winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination. Our national campaign is the right strategy for getting it done.
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